3/2 -3/3 snowfall update

I need to move up the time frame of the snowfall... just a mistake on my part.

I think we will see a changeover from rain/rain snow mix to all snow between 7 and 9 AM... especially if the precip amnts are heavy enough. The biggest deterrent is the warm boundary layer... however this above freezing layer will be fairly shallow later this afternoon. With potential for some heavy precip starting between 7 and 9 I think there's a good chance it will change to snow at that time... and then will remain snow from there. Also... snow is already being reported to our west.

The GFS puts down less qpf than the NAM with the deform band.. but the important thing is that the deform band exists and it is located over the triangle. This band is producing snow right now in Atlanta. It should rotate and move into our area by about 8 PM... and exit the region by around 3-4 AM.

As Bradley Marshall Phelps pointed out... I don't have any support right now from the NWS or the local mets.. They certainly have much better data than I do. So I'm a bit worried that I may be incredibly wrong here... but what the hell.. Will go with only 3 inches if the changeover begins later than expect and up to 8 inches if the changeover starts when expected.


This Afternoon: Rain, Mixing with Snow after 4:00 PM

Tonight: Rain/Snow changing to all snow between 7:00 and 9:00 PM. The snow could be heavy at times.... some thunder will also be possible. Snow easing up by 4:00 AM. Snow should end by day break.

Total accumulations of 3-8 inches mainly in the grassy areas, but covered roads are possible if the snow is heavy enough... Higher amounts are possible where the heaviest bands set up.