1/17 snow update #3

This mornings' model runs show more precip and a faster change over to snow and therefore they spit out 4-6 inches of snow for RDU.  I now believe the most likely scenario is 2-5 inches of snow for the triangle with higher totals more likely on the north and west part of the triangle. I also believe there is a good chance winter storm warnings will be issued this afternoon if the European model also shows greater than 3 inches of snow. I expect the rain/snow mix to start before dawn and also change over to  snow all around dawn. The snow may be heavy at times. Expect the heaviest snow to fall mainly between 9 AM and 2 PM.  The snow should end around 4 PM. Here are the latest potential outcomes:

20% chance 1-2 inches of snow
75% chance 2-5 inches of snow
5% chance less than one inch of snow.