1/6-1/7 major winter storm update

There are no significant changes to the forecast. Models are in better agreement now on potential accumulations for the triangle. The national weather service essentially calls for 6-10 inches for the triangle. Listed below are three most likely snow/sleet accumulation probabilities associated with this storm. 

-10% chance 1-3 inches of snow/sleet accumulation.

-80% chance 5-10 inches of snow/sleet accumulation.

-10% chance 10-12 inches of snow/sleet accumulation.

Northern sections of the triangle are more likely to see the higher end of the accumulation forecast. What could go wrong with the forecast? The changeover from sleet to snow could take longer than forecast which would significantly cut back on accumulations. However, even in that scenario the triangle should still see 1-4 inches of snow.