Tuesday, February 11, 2014

Timing moved up just a bit 2/11 7:50 PM

I now believe that we will see a little snow move into the area by lunch time based on the latest High Resolution Models, which can now be used since the storm is so close (They only go out 18 hours into the future).  In fact there could be a quick burst of heavy snow in the afternoon.  I also think we could see some enhancement of early onset precip in the triangle due to the convection along the frontal boundary in the Gulf.  It also looks like the changeover to freezing rain may be delayed by several hours.

So I'm going to up the snow/sleet totals before the changeover to freezing rain to 1-4 inches.  Still think some light to moderate snow is possible before it ends on Thursday in which we could pick up another 1-2 inches.  Freezing rain accumulations still look to be significant, but we may be spared catastrophic icing.  I'll update again late tonight.

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