North American models have come closer to agreement in regards to the track of this winter storm with the GFS and NAM both inching closer to the proposed path and strength of the surface and upper level features by the European model. What this means is that my initial forecast really won't change much other than bringing in possibly a bit more snow/sleet on the outset and possibly a longer period of sleet. There is also a possibility that the temperature never gets above freezing if the low progresses along the eastern side of the proposed tracks. Keep in mind that there will be more impacts from ice/sleet/snow for the triangle from NW to SE. So Chapel Hill is likely to see more of an impact than Garner with North Raleigh and Cary fitting somewhere in the middle.
Late Tursday Night/Early Friday morning: Snow and sleet with accumulations of 1-3 inches possible.
Friday morning till late Friday afternoon: Sleet and freezing rain turning to all freezing rain by early afternoon. Changing to rain late afternoon. Significant ice and sleet accumulations possible.
Friday night through Saturday: Rain changing to snow with light snow possible through the day on Saturday. An additional 1-3 inches possible.
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