Not much of an update is really needed, but I did want to mention the chance of moderate to heavy snow potential Friday afternoon until sometime Friday night/early Saturday morning. GFS Bufkit is showing a dry layer at around 850. The GFS may be having a difficult time handling diabatic cooling due to evaporation. Therefore, I believe an isothermal layer may exist during the evening hours. I think it may be a situation in which light precip will fall as rain (less evap cooling) and more heavier precip (more evap cooling) will fall as snow up until a certain point during the night. Significant snowfall during rush hour is not out of the question. The timing may need to be updated tomorrow on the exact timing of the changeover to rain. I believe that any changeover to ZR will be brief due to latent heat release caused by freezing. Temps will be borderline for ZR to begin with so expect the ZR itself to lead to enough of a temp increase to change the precip to rain over night. Also, most of the precip should end early Saturday morning with some light freezing drizzle and flurries possible through the afternoon.
Will need to really look into the Christmas eve storm as well. Could be anything from all rain to mostly snow to a historic ice storm.... stay tuned. Starting to gain some confidence though that someone will say a major Christmas eve/Christmas storm.
New Forecast:
Friday afternoon: Snow, possibly mixed with the light rain. The snow could be moderate to heavy at times in the afernoon. High 36
Friday night: Snow changing to sleet and ZR between 10 PM and 1AM and then all rain after 1. The snow could be heavy during the evening. Low 30
Saturday: A chance of freezing drizzle and flurries. High 35
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